Investment & Risk Management Strategy
Investing in energy ventures has traditionally been associated
as having greater potential returns, with corresponding risks,
than any other type of investment. The high-risk/high-potential
of certain categories of these ventures (commonly referred to
as "wildcats") drove investment for many years. There are many
such opportunities available today. However, the Fund's oil and
gas investment strategy is to focus on projects where risk dollars
are substantially moderated and returns of 20% to 40% are the
expected norm.
Risk and at-risk dollars are moderated by investing in projects
fitting three categories. In order of decreasing risk, these are:
1. Possible Reserves: Known, productive zones
within a field where additional reserves may be separated from
proved reserves by faulting. These types of projects are of significant
interest among independent energy companies and investors because
geological data from existing wells is available to aid in developing
the geological hypothesis. Both risk and at-risk dollars are moderated
because the existing geological evidence dramatically increases
the probability of success.
2. Probable Reserves: These type of projects
involve re-entering abandoned oil and natural gas wells to test
potentially productive natural gas zones bypassed when natural
gas prices were under $0.75 per thousand cubic feet (MCF). Natural
gas is now over $5.00 per MCF and is expected to increase in value
as the push for cleaner burning, non-imported fuels grows stronger.
Risk is moderated because geological data from the original well
is available to develop the geological hypothesis, thus increasing
the likelihood for a successful new well.
3. Proven Reserves: The most actively pursued
subcategory today. After a discovery well locates hydrocarbons
in commercial quantities, a multi-well drilling program to exploit
newly discovered reserves commences. The exciting part of these
projects is that in many cases, the major oil companies have already
discovered the field, yet it fails to meet their minimum size
criteria (For example: Large oil companies usually will not even
consider developing a field unless it is at least a 50 to 500
well project. A 3 to 4 well project is not worth their time. Yet,
to a smaller independent and their private individual investors,
a 3 to 4 well project can be quite lucrative. Smaller independents,
if they have the capital, can pick up the "nuggets" that the major
oil companies leave behind.
In order of decreasing risk, both risk and at-risk dollars are
moderated by investing in:
1. A known productive zone in a field where reserves may be separated
from proved reserves via faulting.
2. Re-entering abandoned oil & gas wells to test for productive
natural gas zones.
3. A multi-well drilling program to exploit proven reserves.
The Fund's Management intends to follow this balanced approach
when selecting projects for Fund participation and investment.